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PPT : New Aviation Security Impact Assessment Working Group

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* The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS(R)) today announced five finalists that will compete for the 2006 Franz Edelman Award for Achievement in Operations Research. The winner of the Franz Edelman competition will be announced at a special awards banquet on Monday, May 1, 2006
* Each year, the Franz Edelman competition recognizes outstanding examples of Operations Research (O.R.)-based projects that have transformed companies, entire industries and people’s lives. O.R. uses advanced analytical methods to make better decisions and is a disciplined way to improve almost any business situation in nearly any type of organization in the public or private sector. Past Franz Edelman winners have included General Motors, which used O.R. to save more than $2 billion through improved productivity at 30 assembly plants in 10 countries, and a team from the city of New Haven and Yale who won for preventing AIDS through an innovative needle exchange program…
* Ranging widely in industry and geographic origin, the 2006 Franz Edelman finalists are: Animal Health Institute and Cox Associates; The US Commercial Aviation Partnership, comprising Airports Council International – North America, Air Transport Association, Department of Homeland Security, Department of Transportation, The Boeing Company, and the Transportation Security Administration; Omya Hustadmarmor and M0re Research/ Molde University College; Travelocity and Sabre Holdings; and Warner Robins Air Logistics Center and the University of Tennessee. Descriptions follow: * The US Commercial Aviation Partnership: Industry-government coalition ensures a balance between security and aviation-system performance. o Since 9/11, there has been an outpouring of support for measures aimed to increase the security of the air transport system. However, in an era of limited resources and with airlines standing on the brink of bankruptcy, it is vital government decision-makers have the right information to help them implement measures that strike the right balance between truly enhanced security and the continued vitality of the air transport system. o To meet this goal, a consortium comprising government, airlines and industry formed the US Commercial Aviation Partnership (USCAP). USCAP used Operations Research to create a unique model and analytical process that combines system dynamics with econometrics to provide a 30-year evaluation of the impacts of proposed security measures on each key stakeholder…”
USCAP Franz Edelman Competition Example Endorsement
I am pleased that the USCAP Econometric Tool has been selected to be a finalist in the 2006 Franz Edelman Award.
In 2004 I lead an independent review of the this tool so I am familiar with it’s structure and general assumptions. The review was conducted at the request of Boeing and the TSA and indicates both the level of collaboration and also the approach to quality involved in the program.
The USCAP Econometric Tool is an extremely broad tool developed to evaluate the operational and economic impacts of security measures considered in the wake of the September 11 events. This was and is an extremely important issue as there was no comprehensive approach to evaluate the overall cost of the many security measures proposed in this difficult time. Because of the sensitivity of the threat analysis the tool does not include a threat mitigation analysis component (eg the benefit in a classical cost benefit) but does an admirable job at evaluating cost and is an extremely useful tool at informing both policy and implementation decisions.
The tool is unique in it’s attempt to assess the breadth of the air transportation system and to evaluate both economic and operational effects. The tool includes a broad range of system models including those for airports, airlines, aircraft, air traffic control and others. These models include detailed sub processes including security screening and queuing, airport operations, aircraft operations etc. The tool is designed with an evolutionary structure which allows additional elements of the air transportation system to be incorporated as they become impacted by proposed measures.
The tool has been used to evaluate a number of proposed security measures and has yielded unexpected insights. For example, in an evaluation of airport perimeter security and airport personnel identification policies, the frequency and number of transient personnel involved in airport construction and maintenance (which are significant) was not fully appreciated until the UACAP model was run.

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